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I really hate these click bait articles:

“This stupid jackoff predicted either some stock portfolio picks to perform well or for some shit to happen in 2020. Here’s what they predicted will happen next”

Do people really not see how this math works? Let me spell it out for you:

News flash: I wrote a program that generates random sentences of predictions. I ran it for a week and filled up an entire data center of storage. Out of those 10 quadrillion predictions, 15 of them have been right so far, and out of those 15, 6 have political implications that I can get paid for to release. So let’s release those. Hey, they are right (so far)! You can’t argue with me!

Listen to my words. There are a bunch of stupid asshole “researchers” out there who “made predictions.” The math suggests that just given how many “researchers” with a hunch out there that some number of them will be right so far. That has no bearing on whether what they predicted will happen next is true or not. Let’s ignore the fact that these gorrilla fuckers sit around making up predictions non stop, and let’s ignore the fact that “researchers” includes conspiracy theory Chris from down the street who knows that the government planned 9/11 and round earth is political wizardry to keep democrats in power and take away our guns, and also PhD Peter and his theory of how we can beat COVID by making fun of red necks who have opinions and legalizing crack and meth.

I have a prediction: first the world is infected by COVID, then there’s a race war, and then all these blow hards that make stupid ass predictions and use previous lucky guesses to assert credibility all jump in a lake and drown themselves.

Math and big data aren’t there to help you come up with better lies.

Comments
  • 6
    Agreed. Though I'm pretty sure the clickbait articles just want to sell you something.
  • 1
    I agree about some of what you said.

    However, building 7 would indicate that 9/11 was planned and executed by the US government (or some shadow government).
  • 2
    @SortOfTested oh definitely. But this shit bothers me because there are enough stupid assholes out there that it will work on a lot of people. I wish we could regulate systematic bullshit production but I also am a big free speech guy so there’s this persistent all out war always playing out in my head.
  • 4
    @SortOfTested it just seems like waging information war against a population violates freedom of thought though... but you can’t prove it.
  • 2
    @FrodoSwaggins We are in a world where the tabloids are more accurate than the newspapers. Just like in MIB it seems. It is almost that ridiculous. Yeah, I totally get this.
  • 3
    @FrodoSwaggins
    It does. Though we all have to a degree a personal responsibility to not accept bullshit at face value. Too many people find research and thought inconvenient and are more than happy to accept a convenient fiction as it cures the thinky pain and lets them get back to whatever the fuck it is they would be doing otherwise (tiddlywinks?).
  • 2
    Watch out mate they have AI now
  • 1
  • 0
    great
  • 1
    I highly recommend reading or listening; “Art of Thinking Clearly.” which talks exactly about what you stated here and more. It has helped me in programming and life in general.
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