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The hype of "we will have autonomous cars by 2025" reminds me the 2017 hype of "we will have autonomous cars by 2021". I guess if you try this PR trick enough times, eventually you will get it right.

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  • 7
    I was promised that in the year 2010, we will have space elevators. Younger me spent years daydreaming about pressing all the buttons. I want my dreams back.
  • 7
    @rutee07 You at least have Burj Khalifa. Pressing ~160 buttons is also pretty fun.
  • 4
    It's all lies until I get my pink hoverboard.

    https://icollector.com/item.aspx/...
  • 1
    I mean, the tech's real enough and it looks possible for sure. 2025, maybe not, but "soon".
  • 3
    @RememberMe I don't think it's ready for deployment just like that. Maybe in very specific areas, where human drivers are not allowed to drive.
    You only need one child that is ran over by a driverless car, for a nightmarish public outcry that will cease any further attempts.
    Recall Uber running over that poor woman walking with bicycle - last month they gave up their autonomous car dream officially.
  • 3
    @NickyBones the thing is, that this will happen, inevitably. Just a matter of time. The question actually is, how much less accidents will happen with autonomous cars - of cause public media won’t care about the fact that children are ran over by normal people far more often, just cause it’s considered normal and “just how traffic works”
  • 2
    @dder I agree. This is why I think deploying AV too early is counterproductive and even fatal to the industry.
  • 4
    It’s like with fusion reactors. They will become reality within the next 20 years. Always.

    But seriously, the problem is more political than technical.
  • 1
    @NickyBones what do you mean by “too early”? I mean we need to start someday somewhere. There will be accidents. There will be less and less the more we have AV, if they communicate w each other.
  • 3
    @dder Too early means that a product is cleared for deployment by marketing people rather than engineers. I worked in GM back then and we all knew there was no AV in 2021 no matter how hard the PR team tried to push it.
    How do you suppose these vehicles will communicate if they are from different OEM? All automotive companies will have to agree on some sort of standard - but everyone wants to push the protocol he developed....
  • 2
    @NickyBones I sure hope that ppl and organizations realize that only one common standard will bring everything forward.

    I am thinking of something like the a Qi-standard, which even Apple adopted. I sure hope that this will unify the communication.
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