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Last night I spent 2 hours trying to explain probability to a drunk poker player.

He refused to accept that if Player A and Player B are flipping coins and player A wins 9 coin flips in a row, player B should still treat flip #10 as a 50/50 chance and bet accordingly.

This is basic logic, and when I tried to explain it in terms of computers and code he said "of course a computer would win but I'm saying that 51% against anyone I would win, I've been doing this for 20 years"

My brain hurts.

Comments
  • 0
    Well it doesn't hurt him anyway, no matter what his bet is on the tenth round he cannot pick anything else than 50%
  • 1
    Didn t he know..that it is acctually 49/51% against him...its always 49/51...if he had played long enought..20 years..he should known better those mornings when he had to leave his pants for pay....
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